Value bet – Musselburgh (1.50)

Published by on January 20, 2017

Just one bet at Musselburgh, where I think Paper Roses represents each way value in the 1.50. This is another mares race, and there is not a lot of quality on display. The favourite is Appy Days who is very short based on what we have seen from her so far. The booking of Johnson for Veron Opera has led to that one being installed second favourite but she has had plenty of chances now and I see no other reason for improvement. Paper Roses raced OK here in a bumper when third, and then had two other encouraging runs in bumpers. She was made favourite for a weak race at Kelso on her hurdling debut, but jinked at the penultimate flight and unseated the young rider. I think the horse will much prefer the flatter, tighter surface at Musselburgh for a hurdles race and the good ground will also assist. I suggest backing her win and place at Betfair SP.

1.50 Musselburgh (Race 3) – Paper Roses, 1.00 Point Win and 1.00 Point Place at Betfair SP.