England can shock Germany in Dortmund

Published by on March 20, 2017

If you’re an England fan, it doesn’t get much better than a trip to Germany to face the Old Enemy.

The hosts are clear favourites for this one at 3/4, but the Three Lions do usually raise their game (especially in a friendly when it doesn’t matter).

Gareth Southgate’s men are at 18/5 to win, and their record against the Germans isn’t quite as bad as you might expect given that they’ve easily got the inferior squad.

This is a game that hardly ever finishes as a draw. The last six played, England have won three and Germany the other three. In fact, the last time they drew was a 0-0 stalemate at the 1982 World Cup.

It may be a friendly, but both sides will be going all out. Both teams to score and no draw is at 6/4, though it could be a low-scoring game given England’s lack of really top strikers available.

Harry Kane is out injured, while Theo Walcott wasn’t included at all, so it will fall to Jermain Defoe, Marcus Rashford, and Jamie Vardy to find the back of the net.

Vardy is in great form. Since the sacking of Claudio Ranieri, he’s miraculously decided to start scoring again, managing three goals in his last three games.

Defoe has earned his recall with 14 goals in a Sunderland side that provides him with basically no service. As for Rashford, he’s suffering from a classic bout of ‘second season syndrome’ and has scored just three league goals this season, with Jose Mourinho confining him to the wing.

If England do edge it, it’s going to be close – it’s 5/1 that they’ll win 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1.

Friendlies don’t come much more important than this one.