Pakistan are the Australian visitors over the festive period this year. They will play 3 tests and 5 ODIs over the next 6 weeks, beginning in Brisbane at the GABBA. This is a notorious fortress for Australia, given that they haven’t lost here for almost 3 decades. The last team to beat them was the great West Indies side of the 80s, with young tearaways Courtney Walsh and Curtley Ambrose tormentors in chief, taking 13 wickets between them. Since then Australia have won 20 out of 27 tests (7 draws.)
The surface is usually very flat and Australia can usually be relied on to post big numbers. Warner, Smith and Khawaja have all had success here relatively recently. The big question mark this time around is the day night factor. Nobody really knows if the pink ball will swing around under lights at a hot and humid ground. For this reason I’m happy to pass on the short prices on offer on Aus.
I think Khawaja is the obvious value in the Aus top series bat market. Warner and Smith are clearly quite capable of winning this, but there is no way Uzzie should be so much bigger in the betting. I’m quite keen on him. Having already snagged the bet of the series in Shah, I’m happy to add to him in the top Pakistan bowler market with the classy Amir. He has had so many chances dropped off his bowling in the past year. That won’t continue and he should probably be clear favourite. I’ll play the classy 22 year old Babar Azam small for top Pakistan batsman. He looked good when taking out this market in New Zealand and has as good a chance as any of them.
It’s hard to go past Aus in this mini series given their dominance at the GABBA, but they’re an awful price around 1.30. I’ll pass on this market.
Khawaja top Aus series batsman 5.50 Stan James 2u (5.00 Ladbrokes, Betfred)
Warner top Aus series batsman 3.00 Various 1u
Amir top Pak series bowler 4.50 Bet365 2u
Azam top Pak series batsman 7.00 Stan James 1u (6.50 Bet365, 6.00 Ladbrokes, Betfred, Boyles)