Aus v SA 3rd Test Preview

Published by on November 23, 2016

The final match of this 3 test series takes place under the lights at the Adelaide Oval. Australia have chosen to play 4 debutants in Renshaw, Handscomb, Maddinson and Sayers. The latter has an excellent record at his home ground and has the most Sheffield Shield wickets in the last 4 years. He deserves his chance and I hope he does well. Faf Du Plessis will captain South Africa after the biggest storm in the smallest tea cup ever. What this farce will do is keep the Proteas minds focussed in what is a dead rubber, with the series already secured.

The problem Cricket Australia face now that they have pushed the panic button is if these 11 get demolished. It is by no means a given, however there’s a solid chance they could get rolled under lights on a surface with a bit of grass to it. Then what do they do? The have Pakistan under lights at the GABBA next and they have a bowling attack that is probably even more suited to evening cricket under lights. Oh and they also have the best spinner in the world.

Wade averages less in the shield this year than Nevill averages in the tests and Nevill is the better gloveman, so I’m not sure what’s going on there. Maddinson is piggy’s mate so that one is pretty obvious. Renshaw is a pom so he’s obviously a gun ? and Handscomb scored 200 this week when the whole country was on trial. (What is that about by the way! Who can tell me how many times Handscomb was dropped on his way to 200? And times he should have been out lbw but wasn’t given? What about the other players who got shocking umpiring decisions that didn’t allow them to get a big score in this one game, one week trial? Ridiculous.)

I like South Africa here. They’re the better side, the more settled, focussed and have plenty of match winners. The pink ball and the likelihood of a low scoring shootout brings more luck into it and lessens the gap between the two teams, but it’s hard to go past them. A couple of PP bets catch my eye too and we have a whole host of series futures to be decided.

South Africa to win 2.20 Betfair 2u (2.10 Bet365)
Philander u134.5 PP 1.72 PaddyPower 1u
De Kock o115.5 PP 1.59 Bet365 2u (take down to 1.44) – His line elsewhere is around 160, which is about right.

I’ll be back soon with the NZ v Pak preview and Ind v Eng isn’t far away either.

Enjoy the test and

Be Lucky

Matt