Value bet – Ascot

Published by on December 16, 2016

Yesterday’s main bet, Give Me A Copper won very easily by 14 lengths and began to look like he might be worth the money that was paid for him. He was very green and ran around, not too sure of his job and not jumping fluently. But the horse is built very well and has a huge engine plus a good attitude. He will contest some big races in the Spring after a couple more introductory runs. I was disappointed to see Sainte Ladylime sit behind the leaders in the race against Tagrita. I cannot understand those tactics and he stayed on to get very close to the winner and was only beaten by one length. I think a more forceful ride would have made the difference. Royal Native looked beaten a long way out but stayed on again and looks like he needs a huge trip and softer ground.

Friday December 16th

Good racing at Ascot and Uttoxeter today, and we have four bets in total. Ascot looks like it will have nice ground, on the softish side of good, so I am surprised that the fields are not bigger. We will bet on the two Grade 2 novice races today, the hurdle at 1.55 and the chase at 2.30.

The hurdle race features a horse that we backed last month for a win, Thomas Campbell. I really liked the way he responded to pressure to go and win the race that day and he did it over today’s course and distance and on the same ground condition. This is tougher, but he ill track the leaders again and will know his job fully today. The trainer also expects him to be fitter. The problem is that the trainer, Nicky Henderson, also addles the favourite for the race in Lough Der Spirit. He won easily at Kempton last time and looks to also have huge potential and was mores stylish in his win. I think the tempo today will suit Thomas Campbell and want to stick with him at the prevailing odds. Henderson often saddles more than one in a race with various results and I think he is probably not sure which of his horse’s will progress more quickly. Today will be a good test and I am backing Thomas Campbell to battle to a win on the uphill finish at Ascot, in what should be a great contest to watch. I suggest that we take the 7/2 now.

1.55 Ascot (Race 3),Thomas Campbell, 1.00 Points Win at 7/2 BOG+ with Ladbrokes and Bet365.